The two-week forecast (Figure 1) shows a chance of above-average precipitation over southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, southern Honduras, southern Peru, southern Togo, southern Benin, the Central African Republic, South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, southern Eritrea, Ethiopia, Uganda, the western Democratic Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Burundi, south-central Afghanistan, central Pakistan, central and eastern India, southern Nepal, Bangladesh, Bhutan, northwestern Myanmar, north-central China, the eastern Republic of Korea, southern Indonesia, and southern Papua New Guinea.

There is also a risk of below-average precipitation over the Ohio and southern Mississippi valleys in the US, southern Colombia, Ecuador, central and eastern Peru, eastern Venezuela, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, northern Brazil, the southern United Kingdom, Portugal, western Spain, northern and central France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany, Czechia, Austria, Slovakia, southern Poland, southern Norway, central Sweden, eastern Latvia, northern Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova, Romania, southern Serbia, Kosovo, North Macedonia, Bulgaria, Greece, Türkiye, western Georgia, northwestern and northeastern Iran, northern Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, northeastern Egypt, northern Libya, western Morocco, southwestern Mauritania, northern Senegal, southeast Mali, southwest Niger, western Gabon, southwest Angola, central Namibia, northeast Tanzania, eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, southern and eastern Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, eastern Uzbekistan, eastern Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, northern Afghanistan, northwestern and southern India, Sri Lanka, southern Thailand, western Malaysia, central Indonesia, and northcentral Australia.