The two-week forecast (Figure 1) shows a chance of above-average precipitation over the southwest US, northwest and central Mexico, southern Guatemala, southwest Honduras, western Ecuador, south and southeast Brazil, eastern Paraguay, central Chile, central west Argentina, Greece, eastern Türkiye, Georgia, Armenia, Syria, central and northwestern Iraq, northeastern and eastern Iran, eastern Egypt, northern Libya, southern Tunisia, central and northeastern Algeria, northern and southern Mauritania, southern and central Mali, Senegal, The Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Guinea, northern Côte d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso, southwestern Niger, eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, eastern Kenya, northeastern Tanzania, southern Angola, Namibia, western Botswana, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, northeastern Afghanistan, northern Pakistan, eastern Myanmar, northern Laos, northern and eastern Thailand, northern Viet Nam, north China, and the northern Philippines.

There is also a risk of below-average precipitation over northwestern and northern Canada, the central Mississippi Valley in the US, northern Honduras, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, central and northern Colombia, eastern Ecuador, central Peru, Venezuela, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, northern Brazil, northern and southern Bolivia, northern Argentina, southern Chile, the United Kingdom, northwestern Spain, northern France, Belgium, the Netherlands, northwestern Germany, Denmark, southern Norway, southern Sweden, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Belarus, Ukraine, the western Russian Federation, Moldova, northeastern Romania, north central Türkiye, southern Yemen, northern and western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, South Sudan, the eastern Central African Republic, western Gabon, the southern Republic of the Congo, the western and southern Democratic Republic of the Congo, Uganda, western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, northern and western Tanzania, northeastern Zambia, northern Malawi, northern Madagascar, eastern South Africa, Eswatini, western Kazakhstan, central and eastern India, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, northern Sri Lanka, northeastern and southwestern China, northern Japan, northern Myanmar, southern Thailand, central Malaysia, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, northern and central Australia, and northern New Zealand.