The two-week forecast (Figure 1) shows a chance of above-average precipitation over the western and southern US, Cuba, western Ecuador, southern Peru, southeast Brazil, central Chile, central west Argentina, Portugal, western Spain, northwestern France, southeastern Poland, southern Belarus, eastern Ukraine, Albania, Greece, Türkiye, Georgia, Armenia, the southern and central Russian Federation, Syria, northern Iraq, central west Iran, southwestern Algeria, western Morocco, western Tanzania, northeastern Zambia, Malawi, northern Mozambique, Madagascar, central Namibia, western and southern Kazakhstan, eastern Uzbekistan, western Kyrgyzstan, western Tajikistan, eastern Turkmenistan, northern Afghanistan, northeastern India, eastern Bangladesh, Myanmar, northern and central Thailand, Laos, northern Viet Nam, Cambodia, southern China, and northeastern Australia.

There is also a risk of below-average precipitation over Canada, the northern US, southern Mexico, southern Guatemala, El Salvador, western Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Colombia, Venezuela, Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana, eastern Ecuador, northern and eastern Peru, northern Bolivia, northern Brazil, southern Chile, the northern UK, western Norway, central Finland, Guinea-Bissau, southern Ghana, northeastern Nigeria, northern Cameroon, southern Chad, northern and western Gabon, the northern Republic of the Congo, northwestern Angola, northern Democratic Republic of the Congo, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Uganda, western and northern Kenya, Somalia, eastern Tanzania, southern Iran, southern India, Sri Lanka, northern China, the eastern Russian Federation, southern and central Indonesia, and Papua New Guinea.